I'd be very interested in a talk on the impact that the climate crisis is going to have on geopolitics.
Everyone is talking about minerals and energy. No one is talking about food. Cars and goods are luxuries if you don't have enough to eat. If we reach 2 degrees of warming by 2030-35, and there's no reason to think that we won't, food insecurity in Africa, Pakistan, India, West Asia and South America will become severe.
Productivity of wheat in the exporting bread baskets of Russia, Ukraine, the US, Australia and France will decline by about 20%. 2.5 billion people (1.5 billion already in food insecurity) depend on this trade import of wheat surplus to survive. It's entirely feasible that 1 in 4 will starve to death in the next 10 years. https://richardcrim.substack.com/p/the-crisis-report-103
China is apparently preparing but storing food only goes so far when you can’t produce more and renewable energy doesn’t help if you’re starving. Is China going to share this food with Africans or whoever when billions start dying? Will food not be a huge global political tool as the climate crisis worsens?
No one in the West, in MSM or alt. media even acknowledges the issue exists let alone debates it.
There will always be food but there will be more chemicals in it than real nutrition. You are right MSM & alt. media don’t give a shit but the industry does, they even take it for granted! Africa and the whole South will suffer a shortage in food, so migration to the north will explode, so will bullshit jobs and jobs you cannot make a living from, but better that than nothing. Because of this migration, Europe has to go to war against Russia, with Ukraine the barn of the world. Europe could have learned from the USSR and the collapse, there’s no homogeneity and there won’t be any among the 28 states, not even within 10 years. Ten years they plan to be ready as an Army unity to counter Russia, and then we will have the char, cannon and Drone fodder on the battlefield of whole Europe, wich we see now limited to Ukrainian front. But business will do fine, no one doubt about that.
"The EU continues to pursue policies that undermine its security, economy, political stability, and internal cohesion because it has failed to adjust to multipolar realities. .....However, the EU cannot change course as it has trapped itself in ideology and Manichaean narratives..."
It should be pretty clear by now that EU institutions are captured, and key positions in the hands of people like Von der Leyen and Kallas who are rather obviously controlled by the neocon faction in the US.
The same is true of the ruling parties in many EU countries, if not most.
The masses of people in the US on the other hand are much more divided. There are those who are brainwashed and or racist enough to subscribe to the supremacist ideologies of the neocons....but many others explicity reject this, and would rather get on with solving social issues at home, including rising poverty, and trade peacefully with the parts of the world that are growing.
The ultrarich in Europe have abandoned any ideas of enlightned self interest, they dont dare to challenge the control of the neocons across Europe and they are bathing in their riches, like Louis the fifteenth. While the European media act like court jesters.
That kind of gap is not sustainable. The Emperor has no clothes and everyone knows it. And it is why the annual Edelman trust surveys show trust in institutions tanking right down into the gutter. Unbelievably low trust in institutions across many countries in Europe.
As always we cannot any longer deal with international politics by viewing countries as solid blocs. There are huge divisions there here caused by extenrnal capture of the political institutions, and a rupture surely is imminent.
The EU is fracturing because the population is learning about all the underhanded crap it’s been doing to take freedoms away from its citizens. The population is also real sick and tired of the immigration issue that they neither voted for and see as a drain on their homelands resources that is meant for the citizens. This issue alone is pushing most all EU countries to the right and while doing so is destroying the globalists grip on Europe. It couldn’t come a moment too soon either. The world is waking up and it’s a glorious thing to watch.
It’s obvious to me that after world war 2 until now if nothing else the US played an important role in keeping the countries within NATO as a relatively stable security block and thereby keeping them from getting at each others necks.
As John Mearsheimer and others have pointed out the expansion of NATO to the East was a huge mistake and it has lead to the current war in Ukraine. He claims that the biggest blunder came at the 2008 Bucharest Summit when George W. Bush announced that NATO would be expanded eastward. This blunder and its consequences fit nicely into Mearsheimer’s theory of offensive realism.
As unpalatable as most of what Donald Trump is all about, his instincts with regard to Ukraine are correct and if Europe were to be smart they would follow his lead in quickly ending the war in Ukraine and try to patch up relations with Russia. Europe needs Russia’s cheap energy and it needs to trade with China.
The US should normalize relations with Russia and try to manage the economic and security competition with China so that it doesn’t spill over into a hot war.
All of this is an extension of my “course” which examines the root of many of these and humanities’ problems and offers up solutions to them. I’m going to try to put my course into a film so that I can explain in a more relatable was as to how I think we should be conducting ourselves as a species in order to manage our future more effectively.
"Where's the trust?" A Jack Nicholson line after he is rebuffed by a dog he previously threw down a trash shoot. Does anyone really believe Putin trusts the US, trump, now or ever??
One more time Europe was forced (or fooled?) to go on war against Russia. Now the USA who'd caused all this is stepping aside like peace loving arbitre demanding even to be paid for the misery they've brought! An excellent example of the manageable chaos doctrine! The new American regime is as absurd in its peacemaking as the old one was in its warmongering! And if we focus the lens further and behind USA, we can clearly see who is the real perpetrator and the beneficiary of the war, migrants flood, terrorism and shaking economy. Guess who it is!
Manichaean narratives = eternal fight between absolute good ('our side') and absolute evil that must not be compromised with, a fight that must never be lost.
I'd be very interested in a talk on the impact that the climate crisis is going to have on geopolitics.
Everyone is talking about minerals and energy. No one is talking about food. Cars and goods are luxuries if you don't have enough to eat. If we reach 2 degrees of warming by 2030-35, and there's no reason to think that we won't, food insecurity in Africa, Pakistan, India, West Asia and South America will become severe.
Productivity of wheat in the exporting bread baskets of Russia, Ukraine, the US, Australia and France will decline by about 20%. 2.5 billion people (1.5 billion already in food insecurity) depend on this trade import of wheat surplus to survive. It's entirely feasible that 1 in 4 will starve to death in the next 10 years. https://richardcrim.substack.com/p/the-crisis-report-103
China is apparently preparing but storing food only goes so far when you can’t produce more and renewable energy doesn’t help if you’re starving. Is China going to share this food with Africans or whoever when billions start dying? Will food not be a huge global political tool as the climate crisis worsens?
No one in the West, in MSM or alt. media even acknowledges the issue exists let alone debates it.
There will always be food but there will be more chemicals in it than real nutrition. You are right MSM & alt. media don’t give a shit but the industry does, they even take it for granted! Africa and the whole South will suffer a shortage in food, so migration to the north will explode, so will bullshit jobs and jobs you cannot make a living from, but better that than nothing. Because of this migration, Europe has to go to war against Russia, with Ukraine the barn of the world. Europe could have learned from the USSR and the collapse, there’s no homogeneity and there won’t be any among the 28 states, not even within 10 years. Ten years they plan to be ready as an Army unity to counter Russia, and then we will have the char, cannon and Drone fodder on the battlefield of whole Europe, wich we see now limited to Ukrainian front. But business will do fine, no one doubt about that.
Absolutely! Food, water, land are the critical resources. Highly recommend a documentary called 'The Grab' 2022.
Thank you Rita.
Trump is certainly keen to grab fertile Canada and Ukraine and keep France, Poland and Russia on side.
"The EU continues to pursue policies that undermine its security, economy, political stability, and internal cohesion because it has failed to adjust to multipolar realities. .....However, the EU cannot change course as it has trapped itself in ideology and Manichaean narratives..."
It should be pretty clear by now that EU institutions are captured, and key positions in the hands of people like Von der Leyen and Kallas who are rather obviously controlled by the neocon faction in the US.
The same is true of the ruling parties in many EU countries, if not most.
The masses of people in the US on the other hand are much more divided. There are those who are brainwashed and or racist enough to subscribe to the supremacist ideologies of the neocons....but many others explicity reject this, and would rather get on with solving social issues at home, including rising poverty, and trade peacefully with the parts of the world that are growing.
The ultrarich in Europe have abandoned any ideas of enlightned self interest, they dont dare to challenge the control of the neocons across Europe and they are bathing in their riches, like Louis the fifteenth. While the European media act like court jesters.
That kind of gap is not sustainable. The Emperor has no clothes and everyone knows it. And it is why the annual Edelman trust surveys show trust in institutions tanking right down into the gutter. Unbelievably low trust in institutions across many countries in Europe.
https://www.edelman.com/trust/2025/trust-barometer
That theme of low trust is not an aberration at all.
https://www.eurofound.europa.eu/en/data-catalogue/trust-institutions-age-eu-2020-2024-scale-1-10
https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/society-at-a-glance-2024_918d8db3-en/full-report/trust-in-public-institutions_f4af755c.html
Of course, after Louis XV, came Louis XVI....
As always we cannot any longer deal with international politics by viewing countries as solid blocs. There are huge divisions there here caused by extenrnal capture of the political institutions, and a rupture surely is imminent.
The EU is fracturing because the population is learning about all the underhanded crap it’s been doing to take freedoms away from its citizens. The population is also real sick and tired of the immigration issue that they neither voted for and see as a drain on their homelands resources that is meant for the citizens. This issue alone is pushing most all EU countries to the right and while doing so is destroying the globalists grip on Europe. It couldn’t come a moment too soon either. The world is waking up and it’s a glorious thing to watch.
It’s obvious to me that after world war 2 until now if nothing else the US played an important role in keeping the countries within NATO as a relatively stable security block and thereby keeping them from getting at each others necks.
As John Mearsheimer and others have pointed out the expansion of NATO to the East was a huge mistake and it has lead to the current war in Ukraine. He claims that the biggest blunder came at the 2008 Bucharest Summit when George W. Bush announced that NATO would be expanded eastward. This blunder and its consequences fit nicely into Mearsheimer’s theory of offensive realism.
As unpalatable as most of what Donald Trump is all about, his instincts with regard to Ukraine are correct and if Europe were to be smart they would follow his lead in quickly ending the war in Ukraine and try to patch up relations with Russia. Europe needs Russia’s cheap energy and it needs to trade with China.
The US should normalize relations with Russia and try to manage the economic and security competition with China so that it doesn’t spill over into a hot war.
All of this is an extension of my “course” which examines the root of many of these and humanities’ problems and offers up solutions to them. I’m going to try to put my course into a film so that I can explain in a more relatable was as to how I think we should be conducting ourselves as a species in order to manage our future more effectively.
"Where's the trust?" A Jack Nicholson line after he is rebuffed by a dog he previously threw down a trash shoot. Does anyone really believe Putin trusts the US, trump, now or ever??
One more time Europe was forced (or fooled?) to go on war against Russia. Now the USA who'd caused all this is stepping aside like peace loving arbitre demanding even to be paid for the misery they've brought! An excellent example of the manageable chaos doctrine! The new American regime is as absurd in its peacemaking as the old one was in its warmongering! And if we focus the lens further and behind USA, we can clearly see who is the real perpetrator and the beneficiary of the war, migrants flood, terrorism and shaking economy. Guess who it is!
Of Eu fall, what anbout EØS ?
Manichaean narratives = eternal fight between absolute good ('our side') and absolute evil that must not be compromised with, a fight that must never be lost.