37 Comments
User's avatar
Tonyu's avatar

Wow. Military contractors lying about the effectiveness of their products. Shocker.

James Foley's avatar

Well, only $4million a shot...and who cares whether they actually work (i.e., protect the countries they're supposed to be defending)...think of those profits!

Tonyu's avatar

Yep. But it’s even worse (except for their stockholders). They fire them in $8m pairs and have about a 2-3% kill rate. Patriots are for defense against jets, not missiles, but the false narrative is firmly established. Army defines an “intercept” as the missiles passing each other in the sky. Actual kills that stop the warhead are much rarer. $$$

Al Bundy's avatar

America has old technology incompatible with modern battlefield needs.

Helen Jefferson's avatar

Drones are more accurate and cost a fraction of the price. Slick sales pitch: Suckers!

Perimetr's avatar

Dr.Postol has been persecuted for 35 years for daring to warn the US that its missile defense systems are a fraud and provide zero protection from conventional or nuclear attack.

Danny Weiss's avatar

Wow, great report by Ted Postol. Clearly, he shows how Iran's ballistic missile technology is far more advanced than the U.S. Hopefully the overwhelming advantage of Iran will be recognized and the genocidal aggressors will permanently backdown

It would be valuable to have a live Q&A or to be able to submit questions in advance.

Harald's avatar

So, a complete waste of money.....A fraud?

One World's avatar

Thank you for hosting Theodore Postol. His work and insights are profoundly important in understanding what's truly happening militarily, as opposed to the fairy tales we're fed by the US and Western European leaders.

Robert Adcock's avatar

Thank You Glen and Ted. America's imaginary defense against Russian ballistic missile technology is very discouraging to say the least. Hopefully, with your unveiling of the true facts regarding our present capabilities, we will be able to adopt a realistic attitude and dispel the present mythology.

Maximilian Ruspeckhofer's avatar

So there are 3 possibilities: The interceptor misses completely, the interceptor hits the missile, the missile breaks apart and the warhead explodes on the ground. And the ideal hit at the top of the missile, followed by the detonation of the warhead in the sky. Postol rates the first two outcomes as unsuccessful and only the third as successful. The question is: Is the second outcome - a detonation of the warhead some distance away from the target area on the ground - a success or is it a failure?

Bonny Kay Davison's avatar

Ditto to previous remarks! Thanks to

you, Glenn , for hosting this very knowledgeable Professor Postol! I am sorry for his mistreatment by Patriot contractors and I am sorry for us taxpayers who have been hoodwinked as well. The reform needed in the US seems to have no end.

Thank you again !

Abhishek Singh Chauhan's avatar

America’s war machine looks old, slow, and clumsy in the Iran conflict. The drones outrun its air defenses, cheap missiles punch through billion‑dollar systems, and dispersed Iranian units expose how U.S. forces still think in Cold War formations. The Pentagon burns money while Iran burns targets. The world sees a superpower stuck with heavy gear in a light‑speed battlefield, revealing a military built for yesterday’s wars, not today’s swarm‑driven chaos.

Sladkovian's avatar

The best form of defence is attack. Iran understands this and directs its monies and efforts accordingly.

Annmarie’s's avatar

So appreciate evidentiary analysis and mourn its erasure in Western leadership. Many thanks Professors.

Guido Vandeven's avatar

I learned a lot thank you G. Diesen and T. Postal, I also learned that Zelensky got a very poisonous gift the license to build these Patriot interceptors is useless, not Ukraine alone but the whole EU air defense has no answer to ballistic missiles, the only purpose of these license is that it leads to the again personal enrichment and corruption of the Kiev regime.

D. Patrick Ford's avatar

Apologize for mispelling

D. Patrick Ford's avatar

Dr. Postel, please do not capitulate to the minions of the military-industrial complex! Science should be nonpartisan, and is the basis for truth (within the constraints of probability). It is obvious that you exemplify both maxims. In this "time of lies", it is all that more important that you continue your unbiased work. As you know, the attacks on you and your work, comes from the MIC, which values profit more than truth. And academic institutions that receive financial support from it, are less concerned with profit, but their existence.

AG's avatar
Jul 14Edited

While I do not question the nature of the deception (also the nefarious nature of the Patriot affair of the 1990s is beyond any doubt) - it would be really helpful if the videos would show not just the missiles but the interceptors too. How many are there in each example? Does Postol say?

I don't have time to go back and slow-mo but in the first instant it seemed like 4 or 6 Patriots launched one of which hit a missile. (Or was one light 2 Patriots?) Anyhow. That´d be more than 2%.

It would help to understand. Because out there we have e.g. Mike Mihajlovic who speaks of 50% for THAAD. While I assume that is way too high, a rate of 15% or 20% for PAC3 would be something different than 2%.

Just for the sake of accuracy.

Apart of course from the fact that the documentation available is messy at best (since the good material is all kept under wraps unsurprisingly) and it´s extremely difficult to come up with any such assessment Postol provides us with.

p.s. A comparison with performance of S-400 in similiar situations would be instructive even if I know that is too much to ask...

Amor BENDHIA's avatar

These are very disturbing facts. But when they are laid out by a Professor from MIT you listen. Patriot défense system is a huge scam. Air defense against ballistic missiles is another big scam. Oh boy ..